Barak's version of Sharon
One of the lessons
of the massive protest which
followed Sharon's war in Lebanon appeared
to be that it
is no longer possible to drag the Israeli
people into
wars of choice. But Barak has
managed where Sharon
failed - He convinced at least the center
third of the
Israelis that peace with the Arab world
is impossible
and the next war will be a no-choice war over
Israel's
mere existence. The one who
is able to carry out
Sharon's vision is Barak.
Barak's election campaign focuses on the horrors of Sharon. Now,
those who vote Sharon will know exactly who they vote for.
But
who would the Barak voters vote for? Is it for Dr. Jekyll who, as
we repeatedly hear, is the most far reaching
Israeli prime-
minister ever, in his willingness for concessions for peace?
Or
is it for Mr. Hyde who has recently instructed the Israeli
army
to "shake out the dust from
every corner to complete
preparations" for war, and sent his special units to assassinate
Palestinian political leaders?
Never before has the Israeli society received so many conflicting
signals at one and the same week or day. This is
one of the
reasons for the feeling of confusion and despair that
so many
Israelis experience.
How can these conflicting messages be explained? A
prevailing
account in the Israeli media is in
terms of psychological
incidence: Barak is a complicated and difficult
person, non-
communicative, and slightly unstable. Hence there is a
certain
degree of arbitrariness in his actions and words. (Miraculously,
this account is supposed to help us vote for him.)
But when crucial decisions are to be based on what appears to
be
conflicting data, it is helpful to search
beyond just the
incidence account and look for an explanation that may reconcile
the apparent contradictions.
Sharon's 'vision' is that one should never give up the
state's
lebensraum lands : 'We won't ever leave the Golan Heights' and in
the West Bank and Gaza strip, the Palestinian inhabitants should
be restricted to secluded autonomous enclaves, an
arrangement
that leaves about 50% of the land free for Israel's
use. (In
other words, the current situation in the territories, which
was
created over the years in cooperation between Labor and
Sharon,
should be preserved as is, though in Sharon's present plan,
the
name 'Palestinian state' would be allowed for
the enclaves,
replacing his original 'autonomy'.)
Barak - Sharon's disciple and former subordinate - was raised
on
this vision. But he also understood that this can no longer
be
achieved in Sharon's way. One of the lessons of Sharon's war
in
Lebanon was that it is no longer possible to drag
the Israeli
people into wars of choice. The unprecedented protest
at the
time, which continued in the years of the Israeli occupation
of
Southern Lebanon, made it clear that the Israeli society is tired
of wars. Did Barak decide to renounce Sharon's vision, or did
he
decide that another way needs to be found to fulfill it? We have
no way to know what Barak decided, but we can certainly
examine
what he actually did.
At the beginning of his cadence, Barak announced
a sweeping
initiative of peace with Syria. The
text surrounding this
initiative happened to be identical to what we hear
today: No
Israeli leader has ever offered such radical concessions as Barak
did: withdrawal from all the Golan Heights! Evacuation
of all
settlements!. There was only one issue left - the Kineret coast,
which is the heart and the essence of the Israeli being.
Assad,
who was given everything already, was not willing to yield
even
on this one single issue. That's how it is with Arabs - explained
the text -Whatever you give them, they always want more.
Hence,
we won't leave the Golan Heights, and we must be prepared for the
option of a no-choice war with Syria.
Now this text repeats with the Palestinians: No one has
offered
as many concessions as Barak: 90-95% of the territories! Division
of Jerusalem! Future evacuation of settlements that will not
be
annexed!. But, again, after we gave Arafat everything, he is
not
willing even to contribute the gesture of publicly renouncing the
Palestinian claim on the Haram el-Sharif-Temple Mount site,
and
the right of return. Hence we have no choice but
fencing the
Palestinians in their enclaves, properly separating them from us,
freezing the land situation as is (with some necessary 'security
expansions' of the Israeli areas). And there is no choice but
to
shake the dust and be prepared for a comprehensive war over
the
holy sites of Judaism.
This is Barak's text, which accompanies us day and night, like
a
mantra, and shapes the collective perception of reality: Barak's
generosity versus Arab rejectionism. But in
fact, there is
nothing further than reality.
In the case of Syria, the official
documentation of the
negotiations, in the Shepherdstown document, directly falsifies
the claims concerning Barak's concessions. Israel insisted
that
only military forces will be moved, but not civilians. That
is,
not a single settlement will be evacuated (Haaretz,
13.1.00).
Contrary to the public perception of the events, Barak
has not
offered anything like returning the Golan Heights
to Syrian
sovereignty.(1)
In the case of the Palestinians, there
is just no formal
documentation whatsoever of what Barak actually
offered, and
certainly no list or designated dates for dismantling
even a
single tiny settlement, say the 400 settlers of Hebron
who are
ruining the life of a whole city. The only data is the
text on
Barak's generosity.(2) In practice, Barak has not
offered the
Palestinians anything that Sharon wouldn't, but, as with
Syria,
he managed to create the impression that the Palestinians
would
not settle for anything.
It is scary to observe how successful this text is:
Those who
believe the lies about Barak's concessions despair of the chance
of Peace. Since 1993 there was a constant majority of 60% in
the
polls for 'lands for peace',
including dismantling of
settlements. (As for the Golan Heights - in 1999,
60% of the
Jewish Israelis supported dismantling of ALL settlements).
Now
the support for peace with concessions dropped in the polls
to
30%, on both the Syrian and the Palestinian front.
Barak has
managed where Sharon failed - He convinced at least the
middle
third of the Israelis that peace
with the Arab world is
impossible, and the next war will be a no-choice war
over our
mere existence.
Barak and Sharon want the same thing. The only difference is that
for Sharon, it would be harder to fulfill his wish. As much as he
will talk about peace, no one will believe him, in Israel or
in
the world, that his war is a no-choice war. The one who is
able
to carry out Sharon's vision is Barak.
========
(Footnotes added)
(1) For a detailed survey of the negotiations with Syria and
the
Shepherdstown document, see Reinhart and Katriel
'How Barak
failed the peace with Syria', Mit'an, July 2000,
available at
IMC/Israel http://www.indymedia.org.il).
(2) E.g. Aluf Benn reports that "According
to a diplomatic
source, the Barak government has not
formulated a plan to
evacuate isolated settlements in the framework of a
unilateral
separation or an agreement with the Palestinians. "There
is no
list of settlements intended for evacuation," the source
said,
adding that only general models regarding the
future of the
settlements had been discussed: they will remain, will be
moved
into the blocs or will be evacuated. The meanings of the various
alternatives have been examined, but no map or evacuation
plan
have been drafted. "No one dealt with
a plan for physical
evacuation and no one will take a chance on dealing with it.
We
dealt only with blocs that will be annexed to Israel" the senior
source said." (Aluf Benn, Ha'aretz, Jan 15).